Step it up Skype!
Wednesday - June 29, 2005 Filed in: Strategy
| Consumer
Technology
Podcasting; a new free market by Apple
Radio is about to get a major overhaul. With
iTunes, record companies are losing their
arbitration, no longer are we forced to buy
collections (CDs) in order to enjoy that one
favorite song. In the near future that power will
be diminished even further. Musicians will post
their music without intervention and arbitration of
a record company, giving buyers the ultimate
selection of music they want to enjoy. Pod-casts is
the technology that allows you to pick which radio
segment you'd like to listen to (instead of a whole
program), and deliver it to you at whatever time is
convenient. More exciting is that the creation of
pod-casts is open to everyone, allowing anyone to
get on the soapbox and speak their mind to the
world. Independent reporting from the trenches is
only minutes away. New music stations will spring
up and deliver music from all corners, to all
corners of the globe. Welcome to a free world.
LaserCard; Silicon Valley's best kept secret
With homeland security as a hot
topic these days, LaserCard in Mountain View
(NASDAQ: LCRD, formerly known as Drexler
Technologies) quietly continues to ship
millions of unique memory cards as the
foundation for "Green" cards and National ID
cards to US, Italian, and Canadian governments
and others. In addition to its incredible
resistance against wear and tear (we punched
holes in it and it still read successfully)
and unique security features, the LaserCard
stores an impressive 2.8M of personal and
biometric data. Fingerprints, retina scans,
voice encoding or whatever becomes the
prevalent set of biometric verifiers, can be
combined with visual authentication to ensure
the holder of the card is indeed the one
presenting himself. All these attributes can
be stored on the card and read offline without
the need for centralized databases. So why is
homeland security not using this card to it's
fullest potential? Why does it waste time on
privacy debates with regards to centralized
storage? Why, four years after 911 are we
still not able to verify a persons real
identity?
No Long Tail without a Torso
Investors are getting flooded with Long Tail
startups. The Long Tail is the well documented
phenomenon in which Amazon.com makes more money in
selling books that are not(!) in the top 10,000 and
creates controversy about traditional sales
principles. Hundreds of examples exist before the
introduction of the internet. But the Long Tail
really only exists when there is a body attached to
it. You go to Amazon because you find the most well
known books, then you'll explore its creative
variety. The body represents the highly targeted
top quality that draws in the audience in the first
place. So stop pitching Long Tails, where you rely
on some undefined creative variety. Focus on making
your numbers in the identifiable market, then
benefit from the Long Tail to expand your selection
beyond the traditional and constricted marketplace.
More on the Long Tail here.
Google versus eBay; room to spare
Tuesday - June 21, 2005 Filed in: Strategy
In search of the Economist VC
Wednesday - June 15, 2005 Filed in: Venture
Capital
Free market principles are over 400 years old (or
even older) when the Dutch started selling flowers
using a manual auctioning system. eBay has done a
masterful job of bringing this age old success to
the internet in selling person-to-person goods. The
benefit of eBay is macro-economic not technology
(or user 'friendliness'). That may be the reason
why it barely escaped the (2-3) veto at Benchmark
Capital. The success of free-market principles can
be extended to many verticals and it remains a big
surprise to me that eBay has not delved into other
verticals using these hard earned principles.
Recently, a new job site TheLadders where I posted my resume, raised capital with a new approach to job search. Instead of charging recruiters it charges the job seeker (specifically the ones above $100K/year salary) a price for access to the premium jobs on the site. A nice concept but how do we know that instead of trusting the applicant, we can now trust the recruiters. Are these posts for real. How are recruiters held accountable. How do I know if my personal data is not abused? As NY attorney general Eliot Spitzer declares: "For a market to be truly free and efficient and have the full confidence of its participants two things are required: integrity and transparency". Why would I trust a job site that does not tell me what transactions are committed. Would I be drawn to eBay if I did not know what products really go for?
Free market principles will change the record industry, new players like Apple have implemented the first phase of a free-market for music. Without truly recognizing it, the record labels are participating in a movement in which the stars are no longer produced by labels, but stars are produced by people. But Apple needed the labels to draw the participants into its marketplace first. Open-source represents another form of free market principles. Virtually unlimited software development supply is matched with the diverse appetite for the Linux operating system. Why are we still entrusting the publishing of books to the demi-cartel of the book publisher. You can publish books in Audible on iTunes and the software is ready today to publish Adobe's PDF format (yes, in iTunes). What stops Apple from becoming the media hub where free market principles apply to any data type and buyers can tap into the Pareto and Long Tail supply simultaneously. There are some real hurdles. Hurdles that require capital and domain expertise and VC's to fund them. But we need a different VC, not the technology nut that wants to send a new rocket into space, but one that understands the power of history and evolution.
Recently, a new job site TheLadders where I posted my resume, raised capital with a new approach to job search. Instead of charging recruiters it charges the job seeker (specifically the ones above $100K/year salary) a price for access to the premium jobs on the site. A nice concept but how do we know that instead of trusting the applicant, we can now trust the recruiters. Are these posts for real. How are recruiters held accountable. How do I know if my personal data is not abused? As NY attorney general Eliot Spitzer declares: "For a market to be truly free and efficient and have the full confidence of its participants two things are required: integrity and transparency". Why would I trust a job site that does not tell me what transactions are committed. Would I be drawn to eBay if I did not know what products really go for?
Free market principles will change the record industry, new players like Apple have implemented the first phase of a free-market for music. Without truly recognizing it, the record labels are participating in a movement in which the stars are no longer produced by labels, but stars are produced by people. But Apple needed the labels to draw the participants into its marketplace first. Open-source represents another form of free market principles. Virtually unlimited software development supply is matched with the diverse appetite for the Linux operating system. Why are we still entrusting the publishing of books to the demi-cartel of the book publisher. You can publish books in Audible on iTunes and the software is ready today to publish Adobe's PDF format (yes, in iTunes). What stops Apple from becoming the media hub where free market principles apply to any data type and buyers can tap into the Pareto and Long Tail supply simultaneously. There are some real hurdles. Hurdles that require capital and domain expertise and VC's to fund them. But we need a different VC, not the technology nut that wants to send a new rocket into space, but one that understands the power of history and evolution.


