Jun 2005
Step it up Skype!
Wednesday - June 29, 2005 Filed in: Strategy
| Consumer
Technology
Radio is about to get a major overhaul. With iTunes,
record companies are losing their arbitration, no
longer are we forced to buy collections (CDs) in
order to enjoy that one favorite song. In the near
future that power will be diminished even further.
Musicians will post their music without intervention
and arbitration of a record company, giving buyers
the ultimate selection of music they want to enjoy.
Pod-casts is the technology that allows you to pick
which radio segment you'd like to listen to (instead
of a whole program), and deliver it to you at
whatever time is convenient. More exciting is that
the creation of pod-casts is open to everyone,
allowing anyone to get on the soapbox and speak their
mind to the world. Independent reporting from the
trenches is only minutes away. New music stations
will spring up and deliver music from all corners, to
all corners of the globe. Welcome to a free world.
Podcasting; a new free market by Apple
With homeland security as a hot
topic these days, LaserCard in Mountain View
(NASDAQ: LCRD, formerly known as Drexler
Technologies) quietly continues to ship millions
of unique memory cards as the foundation for
"Green" cards and National ID cards to US,
Italian, and Canadian governments and others. In
addition to its incredible resistance against
wear and tear (we punched holes in it and it
still read successfully) and unique security
features, the LaserCard stores an impressive
2.8M of personal and biometric data.
Fingerprints, retina scans, voice encoding or
whatever becomes the prevalent set of biometric
verifiers, can be combined with visual
authentication to ensure the holder of the card
is indeed the one presenting himself. All these
attributes can be stored on the card and read
offline without the need for centralized
databases. So why is homeland security not using
this card to it's fullest potential? Why does it
waste time on privacy debates with regards to
centralized storage? Why, four years after 911
are we still not able to verify a persons real
identity?
LaserCard; Silicon Valley's best kept secret
Investors are getting flooded with Long Tail
startups. The Long Tail is the well documented
phenomenon in which Amazon.com makes more money in
selling books that are not(!) in the top 10,000 and
creates controversy about traditional sales
principles. Hundreds of examples exist before the
introduction of the internet. But the Long Tail
really only exists when there is a body attached to
it. You go to Amazon because you find the most well
known books, then you'll explore its creative
variety. The body represents the highly targeted top
quality that draws in the audience in the first
place. So stop pitching Long Tails, where you rely on
some undefined creative variety. Focus on making your
numbers in the identifiable market, then benefit from
the Long Tail to expand your selection beyond the
traditional and constricted marketplace. More on the
Long Tail here.
No Long Tail without a Torso
Google versus eBay; room to spare
Tuesday - June 21, 2005 Filed in: Strategy
Free market principles are over 400 years old when
the Dutch started selling flowers using a manual
auctioning system. eBay has done a masterful job of
bringing this age old success to the internet in
selling person-to-person goods. The benefit of eBay
is macro-economic not technology (or user
'friendliness'). That may be the reason why it barely
escaped the (2-3) veto at Benchmark Capital. The
success of free-market principles can be extended to
many verticals and it remains a big surprise to me
that eBay has not delved into other verticals using
these hard earned principles.
Recently, a new job site TheLadders where I posted my resume (for research purposes on marketplaces), raised capital with a new approach to job search. Instead of charging recruiters it charges the job seeker (specifically the ones above $100K/year salary) a price for access to the premium jobs on the site. A nice concept but how do we know that instead of trusting the applicant, we can now trust the recruiters. Are these posts for real. How are recruiters held accountable. How do I know if my personal data is not abused? As NY attorney general Eliot Spitzer declares: "For a market to be truly free and efficient and have the full confidence of its participants two things are required: integrity and transparency". Why would I trust a job site that does not tell me what transactions are committed. Would I be drawn to eBay if I did not know what products really go for?
Free market principles will change the record industry, new players like Apple have implemented the first phase of a free-market for music. Without truly recognizing it, the record labels are participating in a movement in which the stars are no longer produced by labels, but stars are produced by people. But Apple needed the labels to draw the participants into its marketplace first.
Open-source represents another form of free market principles. Virtually unlimited software development supply is matched with the diverse appetite for the Linux operating system. Why are we still entrusting the publishing of books to the demi-cartel of the book publisher. You can publish books in Audible on iTunes and the software is ready today to publish Adobe's PDF format (yes, in iTunes). What stops Apple from becoming the media hub where free market principles apply to any data type and buyers can tap into the Pareto and Long Tail supply simultaneously. There are some real hurdles. Hurdles that require capital and domain expertise and VC's to fund them. But we need a different VC, not the technology nut that wants to send a new rocket into space, but one that understands the power of history and evolution.
Recently, a new job site TheLadders where I posted my resume (for research purposes on marketplaces), raised capital with a new approach to job search. Instead of charging recruiters it charges the job seeker (specifically the ones above $100K/year salary) a price for access to the premium jobs on the site. A nice concept but how do we know that instead of trusting the applicant, we can now trust the recruiters. Are these posts for real. How are recruiters held accountable. How do I know if my personal data is not abused? As NY attorney general Eliot Spitzer declares: "For a market to be truly free and efficient and have the full confidence of its participants two things are required: integrity and transparency". Why would I trust a job site that does not tell me what transactions are committed. Would I be drawn to eBay if I did not know what products really go for?
Free market principles will change the record industry, new players like Apple have implemented the first phase of a free-market for music. Without truly recognizing it, the record labels are participating in a movement in which the stars are no longer produced by labels, but stars are produced by people. But Apple needed the labels to draw the participants into its marketplace first.
Open-source represents another form of free market principles. Virtually unlimited software development supply is matched with the diverse appetite for the Linux operating system. Why are we still entrusting the publishing of books to the demi-cartel of the book publisher. You can publish books in Audible on iTunes and the software is ready today to publish Adobe's PDF format (yes, in iTunes). What stops Apple from becoming the media hub where free market principles apply to any data type and buyers can tap into the Pareto and Long Tail supply simultaneously. There are some real hurdles. Hurdles that require capital and domain expertise and VC's to fund them. But we need a different VC, not the technology nut that wants to send a new rocket into space, but one that understands the power of history and evolution.
In search of the Economist VC
Wednesday - June 15, 2005 Filed in: Venture
Capital
As a fervent Macintosh user (I
have never bought a Windows PC in my life, but
been "forced" to use one), the Treo650 is about
the only game in town to get your office with
you on the road. The success of the Palm in 1997
started with a simple concept, provide business
users with four simple buttons that gives them
access to everything they need. No more, no
less. Since then the Palm platform has grown in
all directions, except the one I need; better
support for the business user. I like access to
e-mail and a decent browser, I don't like the
fact that many of the phone software
capabilities are not truly integrated with the
original Palm software capabilities. Bluetooth
performance of the Treo is below par, calls
sometimes do not get sent to the Treo headset,
regardless of the button you press (the headset
works fine with my Powerbook and Skype).
Categories don't work with the Mac. Call log
can't be scrolled through using navigation keys.
No keystroke consistency between applications.
No global hot button consistency. Inconsistent
user interface behavior between applications.
Should I go on?Opinion: I wish Apple made a phone, using a proprietary device that serves the needs of a business user very well (a key target considering its $500 price point) , instead of trying to appeal to a broad software market. In the same way the iPod did that for music players. Proprietary platforms competing with "open-source" will yield better customer value, Apple please bring it on.


